Ramalan PRN Johor 2026
Model probabilistik · 56 DUN · 172 calon · pengundian 11 Julai 2026 · 20,000 simulasi Monte Carlo
Konservatif (status quo)
Sederhana (Johor tahan)
Agresif (Green Wave penuh)
Unjuran kerusi (pendahulu)
14 kerusi rapat · 56 jumlah
BN 32
PH 14
PN 10
Barisan Nasional:
32
Pakatan Harapan:
14
Perikatan Nasional:
10
· Majoriti = 29 kerusi
N.01
Selamat
Buloh Kasap
BN
Datuk Zahari Sarip
99%
kebarangkalian menang
N.02
Selamat
Jementah
PH
Ng Kor Sim
82%
kebarangkalian menang
N.03
Condong
Pemanis
BN
Anuar Abdul Manap
60%
kebarangkalian menang
N.04
Condong
Kemelah
BN
Raven Kumar Krishnasamy
66%
kebarangkalian menang
N.05
Selamat
Tenang
BN
Mohd Azhar Ibrahim
72%
kebarangkalian menang
N.06
Selamat
Bekok
PH
Cikgu Tay Yok Jiuen
76%
kebarangkalian menang
N.07
Condong
Bukit Kepong
PN-BERSATU
Dato’ Dr Sahrudin Jamal
61%
kebarangkalian menang
N.08
Condong
Bukit Pasir
BN
Ir Mohd Fazli Mohamed Salleh
61%
kebarangkalian menang
N.09
Condong
Gambir
BN
Sahrihan Jani
62%
kebarangkalian menang
N.10
Selamat
Tangkak
PH
Ee Chin Li
78%
kebarangkalian menang
N.11
Rapat
Serom
BN
Nadirah Afiqah Abdull Rahim
57%
kebarangkalian menang
N.12
Selamat
Bentayan
PH
Ng Yak Howe
100%
kebarangkalian menang
N.13
Condong
Simpang Jeram
BN
Datuk Azman Ismail
45%
kebarangkalian menang
N.14
Condong
Bukit Naning
BN
Mohd Ghazali Sabari
59%
kebarangkalian menang
N.15
Rapat
Maharani
PN-PAS
Mohamad Anuar Hayan
56%
kebarangkalian menang
N.16
Rapat
Sungai Balang
BN
Cikgu Selamat Takim
53%
kebarangkalian menang
N.17
Rapat
Semerah
BN
Mohd Fared Mohd Khalid
52%
kebarangkalian menang
N.18
Rapat
Sri Medan
PN-PAS
Ustaz Ahmad Rosdi Bahari
54%
kebarangkalian menang
N.19
Selamat
Yong Peng
PH
Yong Hui Yi
92%
kebarangkalian menang
N.20
Rapat
Semarang
PN-BERSATU
Muhammad Syafiq Abdul Aziz
53%
kebarangkalian menang
N.21
Selamat
Parit Yaani
BN
Datuk Mohamad Najib Samuri
86%
kebarangkalian menang
N.22
Rapat
Parit Raja
BN
Nor Rashidah Ramli
53%
kebarangkalian menang
N.23
Selamat
Penggaram
PH
Felicia Poh Rui Ling
99%
kebarangkalian menang
N.24
Condong
Senggarang
BN
Mohd Yusla Ismail
60%
kebarangkalian menang
N.25
Rapat
Rengit
PN-BERSATU
Syed Mohamad Syed Alwi
51%
kebarangkalian menang
N.26
Selamat
Machap
BN
Datuk Onn Hafiz Ghazi
100%
kebarangkalian menang
N.27
Selamat
Layang-Layang
BN
Chua Juan Boon
71%
kebarangkalian menang
N.28
Selamat
Mengkibol
PH
Chu Poh Yee
99%
kebarangkalian menang
N.29
Selamat
Mahkota
BN
Syed Hussien Syed Abdullah
98%
kebarangkalian menang
N.30
Selamat
Paloh
BN
Lee Ting Han
77%
kebarangkalian menang
N.31
Rapat
Kahang
BN
V Rugendran
54%
kebarangkalian menang
N.32
Condong
Endau
PN-PAS
Ustaz Hasnul Hakimi Hussein
66%
kebarangkalian menang
N.33
Rapat
Tenggaroh
PN-BERSATU
Muhamad Amerul Muhamad
51%
kebarangkalian menang
N.34
Rapat
Panti
BN
Dr Muhammad Naqib Ghazali
54%
kebarangkalian menang
N.35
Condong
Pasir Raja
BN
Datuk Seri Adham Baba
59%
kebarangkalian menang
N.36
Rapat
Sedili
PN-BERSATU
Rasman Ithnain
56%
kebarangkalian menang
N.37
Rapat
Johor Lama
PN-BERSATU
Aisah Esa
50%
kebarangkalian menang
N.38
Rapat
Penawar
PN-BERSATU
Cikgu Fairulnizar Rahmat
56%
kebarangkalian menang
N.39
Selamat
Tanjung Surat
BN
Aznan Tamin
100%
kebarangkalian menang
N.40
Selamat
Tiram
BN
Datuk Abdul Halim Suleiman
72%
kebarangkalian menang
N.41
Selamat
Puteri Wangsa
PH
Dr Maszlee Malik
84%
kebarangkalian menang
N.42
Condong
Johor Jaya
PH
Lee Wern Yiing
64%
kebarangkalian menang
N.43
Selamat
Permas
BN
Baharudin Mohamed Taib
72%
kebarangkalian menang
N.44
Selamat
Larkin
BN
Mohd Hairi Mad Shah
100%
kebarangkalian menang
N.45
Selamat
Stulang
PH
Andrew Cheng Kah Eng
89%
kebarangkalian menang
N.46
Selamat
Perling
PH
Alan Tee Boon Tsong
73%
kebarangkalian menang
N.47
Selamat
Kempas
BN
Datuk Ramli Bohani
99%
kebarangkalian menang
N.48
Selamat
Skudai
PH
Kartiyaini Jeyapalan
100%
kebarangkalian menang
N.49
Selamat
Kota Iskandar
BN
Datuk Pandak Ahmad
75%
kebarangkalian menang
N.50
Selamat
Bukit Permai
BN
Datuk Jafni Mohd Shukor
72%
kebarangkalian menang
N.51
Selamat
Bukit Batu
PH
Arthur Chiong Sen Sern
94%
kebarangkalian menang
N.52
Selamat
Senai
PH
Wong Bor Yang
99%
kebarangkalian menang
N.53
Selamat
Benut
BN
Datuk Mohd Sumali Reduan
100%
kebarangkalian menang
N.54
Selamat
Pulai Sebatang
BN
Hasrunizah Hasan
99%
kebarangkalian menang
N.55
Selamat
Pekan Nanas
BN
Tan Eng Meng
87%
kebarangkalian menang
N.56
Selamat
Kukup
BN
Hj Md Israk Abdullah
97%
kebarangkalian menang